How long before Microsoft Windows XP disappears?

Windows XP is in decline, on Netmarketshare's monthly numbers, but can we project how much longer it will stick around? It may be longer than you think

Netmarketshare's monthly updates on the state of the operating system and browser markets are useful not because the numbers are accurate — they clearly have a margin of error — but because they show trends. The most obvious trend at the moment is the decline of Microsoft's ancient Windows XP. This enables us to project how long it will be before Windows XP finally disappears, and you're welcome to have a go in the comments below.

The first question is, "What does 'disappear' mean?" There will clearly be a rump of Windows XP users for a long time. There are, after all, still a few people using Windows 98 (0.01 percent) and Windows 2000 (0.03 percent).

Read more at: How long before Microsoft Windows XP disappears? | ZDNet
 
I have an old Pentium 3 800MHz 1GB PC133 running Server 2003 for legacy compatibility with old hardware / software. Also I like to live in a museum like house !

:)
 

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Trends

Given current trends, the W8 series will vanish long before XP, assuming that W9 is any good.

OTOH, if MS insists on making W9 more annoying than W8, XP may outlast both.
 

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Likely not until the PC its installed on finally dies.
 

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I have been repacing xp machines left and right. The older generation basecally are the ones holding on to them, and their kids are telling them they need to replace them. They are very slow compared to windows 7 and 8 and cannot run the newer technology or games that are out there, and with many programs and antivirus programs except avast who said they would only support xp for one more yr to give ppl a chance to chang over, the machine is just down right vulnerable!
 

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I have been repacing xp machines left and right. The older generation basecally are the ones holding on to them, and their kids are telling them they need to replace them. They are very slow compared to windows 7 and 8 and cannot run the newer technology or games that are out there, and with many programs and antivirus programs except avast who said they would only support xp for one more yr to give ppl a chance to chang over, the machine is just down right vulnerable!

Fast boot is a gimmick. On the same machine, XP is consiferably faster than 7/8.1 after the system boots up!
 

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Windows XP is what sites write about on slow days....;) They might as well write about how DOS is still widely used in business networks around the world (and, man, is it ever!) Borrrrrrrrrrr-r-r-r-r-ring. Computer hardware lasts a long time--it's in the nature of how it is manufactured, and back in the days of XP computer hardware cost a lot more than it does now, so people naturally want to keep it longer. All this chitter-chatter about XP is pretty silly, I think.
 

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    Had a brain amputation followed up by an all-lobe "clean-up" lobotomy last year, am doing fine. Life is so much simpler, now.
I have been repacing xp machines left and right. The older generation basecally are the ones holding on to them, and their kids are telling them they need to replace them. They are very slow compared to windows 7 and 8 and cannot run the newer technology or games that are out there, and with many programs and antivirus programs except avast who said they would only support xp for one more yr to give ppl a chance to chang over, the machine is just down right vulnerable!

Fast boot is a gimmick. On the same machine, XP is consiferably faster than 7/8.1 after the system boots up!

My personal experience has been just the opposite. Windows 7 ran smother and faster than XP did on my PC's. Even Windows 2000 ran faster on the same hardware. YMMV
 

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I have been repacing xp machines left and right. The older generation basecally are the ones holding on to them, and their kids are telling them they need to replace them. They are very slow compared to windows 7 and 8 and cannot run the newer technology or games that are out there, and with many programs and antivirus programs except avast who said they would only support xp for one more yr to give ppl a chance to chang over, the machine is just down right vulnerable!

Fast boot is a gimmick. On the same machine, XP is consiferably faster than 7/8.1 after the system boots up!

My personal experience has been just the opposite. Windows 7 ran smother and faster than XP did on my PC's. Even Windows 2000 ran faster on the same hardware. YMMV

By faster, do you mean they "feel" faster, or did you actually do pseudo-scientific tests like measure the fps on games that ran on all 3 OSes? And if so, will you share with us the results?
 

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Well, here at the Neck Hickey Institute, after exhausting studies on this subject, have calculated XP's half life decay, and estimate that there will be small amounts of residual effects that will remain for a minimum of three thousand years. And we are seldom wrong.

Regretfully, we were unable to measure the true collateral damage that it's mere existence may have caused, perhaps we will never know. But, such are the ways of science when dealing with questions as these.
 

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Fast boot is a gimmick. On the same machine, XP is consiferably faster than 7/8.1 after the system boots up!

My personal experience has been just the opposite. Windows 7 ran smother and faster than XP did on my PC's. Even Windows 2000 ran faster on the same hardware. YMMV

By faster, do you mean they "feel" faster, or did you actually do pseudo-scientific tests like measure the fps on games that ran on all 3 OSes? And if so, will you share with us the results?
Games that run on all 3 systems are not real measure of OS "speed", they (for XP) are made for lower HW requirements, different drivers and DirectX or OpenGL, some actually run slower even on much higher performance computers because of that. Games also have caps on speed independent of HW, otherwise they would be uncontrollable at higher performance computers. So games are not really good benchmark for OS comparison.
 

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Hi there

In the "Real" world of computing - Games are essentially a relatively small subset -- it's not a trivial INDUSTRY though - it generates a LOT of money world wide. Gamers are often tweaking around with their hardware, experimenting with specialized GPU's etc and often "Roll their own" when it comes to the actual hardware.

Things like XP and W7 -- perhaps not so much W8/8.1 (yet) are geared to businesses running PC's essentially on LANS where they often connect to servers running corporate applications or aimed at ordinary consumers where average hardware will run most of their applications quire satisfactory.

For what the OS was primarily designed for it has (and continues) to perform spectacularly well.

(Some older Porsches used essentially VW beetle engines highly modified -- you can consider some gaming machines like the porsche running with a highly modified VW beetle engine ).

Ideally gaming perhaps should have it's own type of OS - but some of these gaming machines are used for ordinary purposes too (a Porsche can be driven on a local street to get your shopping).

Cheers
jimbo
 

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I still have an old desktop from 2001 with Windows XP Pro installed around 2002. It would still be useful if I could add much more than the maximum allowed 512MB of ram on the motherboard. It runs so slow with today's newer programs. The Pagefile gets a real workout. :)
 

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Hi there

In the "Real" world of computing - Games are essentially a relatively small subset -- it's not a trivial INDUSTRY though - it generates a LOT of money world wide. Gamers are often tweaking around with their hardware, experimenting with specialized GPU's etc and often "Roll their own" when it comes to the actual hardware.

Things like XP and W7 -- perhaps not so much W8/8.1 (yet) are geared to businesses running PC's essentially on LANS where they often connect to servers running corporate applications or aimed at ordinary consumers where average hardware will run most of their applications quire satisfactory.

For what the OS was primarily designed for it has (and continues) to perform spectacularly well.

(Some older Porsches used essentially VW beetle engines highly modified -- you can consider some gaming machines like the porsche running with a highly modified VW beetle engine ).

Ideally gaming perhaps should have it's own type of OS - but some of these gaming machines are used for ordinary purposes too (a Porsche can be driven on a local street to get your shopping).

Cheers
jimbo
Yes, with that analogy "Gaming computers" would be "Hot rods" in automotive industry. Fun but note really useful.
 

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Fast boot is a gimmick. On the same machine, XP is consiferably faster than 7/8.1 after the system boots up!

My personal experience has been just the opposite. Windows 7 ran smother and faster than XP did on my PC's. Even Windows 2000 ran faster on the same hardware. YMMV

By faster, do you mean they "feel" faster, or did you actually do pseudo-scientific tests like measure the fps on games that ran on all 3 OSes? And if so, will you share with us the results?

I could say the same to you? Even if I did bench mark it, why would I save it all this time? If you think XP was faster then fine, I don't.
 

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    AMD Phenom II X4 980 Black Edition Deneb 3.7GHz
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    Crucial MX100 256 GB SSD and 500 GB WD Blue SATA
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    80 Mbps Down 30 Mbps Up
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    Internet Explorer 11
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    Windows Defender
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    HP DVD1040e Lightscribe - External USB2
My personal experience has been just the opposite. Windows 7 ran smother and faster than XP did on my PC's. Even Windows 2000 ran faster on the same hardware. YMMV

By faster, do you mean they "feel" faster, or did you actually do pseudo-scientific tests like measure the fps on games that ran on all 3 OSes? And if so, will you share with us the results?
Games that run on all 3 systems are not real measure of OS "speed", they (for XP) are made for lower HW requirements, different drivers and DirectX or OpenGL, some actually run slower even on much higher performance computers because of that. Games also have caps on speed independent of HW, otherwise they would be uncontrollable at higher performance computers. So games are not really good benchmark for OS comparison.

I only suggested games as a benchmarking tool. The common man does not know how to write code. The more accurate test would be to write codes for a stress test app. Have the app target .NET 3.5 in XP, .NET 4.0 in 7, and .NET 4.5 in 8. Those are the .NET versions optimized for that particular OS! It's the same code targeted at diff .NET vers. Build it, run it, then see the results for yourselves...
 

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I still have an ancient XP 166Mhz Pentium that I will never get rid of it...It really saved my arse last year, when My house was burglarized... That erned that ancient Pentium an eternal reprieve! ;)
 

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    1900x1080
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    Segate 1tb
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    100mb down /10mb up
I already made an argument against using such games as a benchmark for reasons above. Problem with XP is that it can not use HW resources, specially memory and SSDs as efficiently as Win8. Part of Win8 performance is that it uses more RAM for it's processes without digging thru storage which is many times slower. There are much less quality drivers for new hardware so efficiency suffers from that. I haven't benchmarked XP on this same computer (which itself is not some modern marvel) but did with Win7 and Win8 was slightly better.
Once upon a time, there was a benchmarking program that used installed Office files for benchmarking but can't remember it now, It would be nice if someone wrote it to work on newer systems, although a moot point because of XP's lack of support and virtual is now obsolete in many other ways including new programs that can take it's advantage points into account.
 

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    Asus Prime x470 Pro
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    16GB Kingston 3600
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    Asus strix 570 OC 4gb
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    Samsung 960 evo 250GB
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    WD 2 TB Blue
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    40/2 Mbps
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I still have an ancient XP 166Mhz Pentium that I will never get rid of it...It really saved my arse last year, when My house was burglarized... That erned that ancient Pentium an eternal reprieve! ;)
I know of a 386-SX 16 running as a controller for a saw mill (I built it to replace old one), using DOS and a program from early 1990s but that does not make it any better or faster.
 

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    Memory
    16GB Kingston 3600
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    Samsung 960 evo 250GB
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    WD 2 TB Blue
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    CCM Nepton 140xl
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    40/2 Mbps
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    Antivirus
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I already made an argument against using such games as a benchmark for reasons above. Problem with XP is that it can not use HW resources, specially memory and SSDs as efficiently as Win8. Part of Win8 performance is that it uses more RAM for it's processes without digging thru storage which is many times slower. There are much less quality drivers for new hardware so efficiency suffers from that. I haven't benchmarked XP on this same computer (which itself is not some modern marvel) but did with Win7 and Win8 was slightly better.
Once upon a time, there was a benchmarking program that used installed Office files for benchmarking but can't remember it now, It would be nice if someone wrote it to work on newer systems, although a moot point because of XP's lack of support and virtual is now obsolete in many other ways including new programs that can take it's advantage points into account.

You just have to trust me on this one... I did both the game fps test thing and the .NET code writing testing thing. XP was much faster in both scenarios. On the same machine, you're talking about street racing in XP versus going at 25 mph (in 7/8.1) when the posted speed limit is 35 mph! I fear when 9 gets released, it might get a 5mph improvement over 7/8.1 and XP will still beat it hands down at the finish line...
 

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System One

  • OS
    Windows 7
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