Pretty much what you said points to a strong parallel to XP and 8. Not many people need the new features of 8, and not many businesses have budgets allocated for that.
Nah, look - the question isn't: "Do I need new features?" I guess there are some people who don't care about new features but they're in the extreme minority. Who wants to be driving a Model T right now unless you're in a Model T club? The question is: "Why did they make the new features this way?" I want new features in an OS. I want them in just about everything I buy. I'm about to dump my old smartphone for a new smartphone with a ton of new features. Can't wait. I've said this over and over (not that anyone cares) but it matters what the changes are. Brink could require everyone on this site communicate in Latin. That's change. Change is always good, right? No. It matters what the change is. Change acceptance can be subjective, yes. We all know a lot of people love 8. But there's a poll on this very site that indicates the lovers of 8 here can't even crack the 50% mark. That's not an outlier, either. Can someone find me a significant poll that says more than half of the respondents love and/or will upgrade to 8? I'm sure there's one out there but I've never seen it.
Now, you point out to a lot of good about XP, but don't believe 8 is any good to stand on its own. I find fault with that as there IS a good amount of good about Windows 8 that seems to be voluntarily ignored or what.
Sorry, let be more clear about what I meant. 8 can stand on its own to a lot of people, yes. But if it could match the enthusiasm of 7, you would not be reading stuff like Bott just posted. It would be self-evident and Bott would have been posting stuff like - 8 is matching or exceeding even 7's reception.
I have to point out that recession, compared to this last one, that was almost a hiccup.
Doesn't matter. XP was released in 4Q 2001. That's when corporate profits - which were already in decline from the stock market bubble explosion the year before - took a severe hit....
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...which also meant businesses didn't invest in new stuff:
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This is significant, which Bott just blows off.