Estimates peg 59M Windows 8 devices in use

Computerworld - Microsoft this week said that it had sold 100 million licenses of Windows 8 in the operating system's first six months. But how many copies are being used?
That's a question Patrick Moorhead, principal analyst with Moor Insights & Strategy, had at the top of his list after seeing Microsoft's milestone, which was revealed by Tami Reller, the CFO of the Windows division, in a Tuesday blog post and interviews with several media outlets.
"The challenge is figuring out what that actually means," said Moorhead of the 100-million mark. "It doesn't mean that there are that many devices out the door."

For April, Windows 8's average usage share was 4.2% of all Windows PCs, according to Net Applications' data. That number included what Net Applications labeled as "touch" for Windows 8 and Windows RT, those tablets and touch-enabled notebooks that browse the Web from the "Modern" user interface (UI) rather than the mouse-and-keyboard UI of the traditional desktop.
Four-point-two percent of 1.4 billion equals approximately 58.6 million, the number of devices using Windows 8 last month.
Those same calculations also illustrate the huge chore Microsoft and its customers, predominantly enterprises, have in ditching the 12-year-old Windows XP before April 2014's support retirement deadline. Using the same math, XP powers about 584.4 million machines, or well over half a billion PCs.

Estimates peg 59M Windows 8 devices in use - Computerworld

At this rate XP will have in 2 years more users than Windows 8.
 
Computerworld - Microsoft this week said that it had sold 100 million licenses of Windows 8 in the operating system's first six months. But how many copies are being used?
That's a question Patrick Moorhead, principal analyst with Moor Insights & Strategy, had at the top of his list after seeing Microsoft's milestone, which was revealed by Tami Reller, the CFO of the Windows division, in a Tuesday blog post and interviews with several media outlets.
"The challenge is figuring out what that actually means," said Moorhead of the 100-million mark. "It doesn't mean that there are that many devices out the door."

For April, Windows 8's average usage share was 4.2% of all Windows PCs, according to Net Applications' data. That number included what Net Applications labeled as "touch" for Windows 8 and Windows RT, those tablets and touch-enabled notebooks that browse the Web from the "Modern" user interface (UI) rather than the mouse-and-keyboard UI of the traditional desktop.
Four-point-two percent of 1.4 billion equals approximately 58.6 million, the number of devices using Windows 8 last month.
Those same calculations also illustrate the huge chore Microsoft and its customers, predominantly enterprises, have in ditching the 12-year-old Windows XP before April 2014's support retirement deadline. Using the same math, XP powers about 584.4 million machines, or well over half a billion PCs.

Estimates peg 59M Windows 8 devices in use - Computerworld

At this rate XP will have in 2 years more users than Windows 8.

I'll actually bet that XP will outlast Windows 8 by YEARS -- not so much for typical home computers - but because of the extensive use XP has for all sorts of legacy but incredibly expensive equipment -- Volcano monitoring gear, Lab analysis and metering tools, Oil rig gas / pressure analysis -- and zillions more. This gear was never updated to W7 either because the manufacturer no longer existed or to upgrade both hardware and software would just be HIDEOUSLY EXPENSIVE for no real gain.

It's easy for typical home consumers to go into a store and just think -Let's upgrade - but out in the Real World it doesn't work like that - and XP even today is still a real workhorse of an OS for these sorts of cases. In a lot of cases too this gear runs on dedicated systems so things like Internet security etc are totally irrelevant. Also most of this type of gear can run quite happily on a Windows XP Virtual Machine too.

Cheers
jimbo
 

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That is probably a reasonable stab at a ballpark figure.

The bigger issue for MS is the trajectory.

I suspect it has been going down steeply.

Example ( imaginary figures to illustrate - there will also be adjustments for known seasonal variations )

month 3 14m
month 4 12m
month 5 10m
month 6 8m

If that is the shape - it is bad news.
 

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I'll actually bet that XP will outlast Windows 8 by YEARS -- not so much for typical home computers - but because of the extensive use XP has for all sorts of legacy but incredibly expensive equipment -- Volcano monitoring gear, Lab analysis and metering tools, Oil rig gas / pressure analysis -- and zillions more. This gear was never updated to W7 either because the manufacturer no longer existed or to upgrade both hardware and software would just be HIDEOUSLY EXPENSIVE for no real gain.

It's easy for typical home consumers to go into a store and just think -Let's upgrade - but out in the Real World it doesn't work like that - and XP even today is still a real workhorse of an OS for these sorts of cases. In a lot of cases too this gear runs on dedicated systems so things like Internet security etc are totally irrelevant. Also most of this type of gear can run quite happily on a Windows XP Virtual Machine too.

Cheers
jimbo

I hear you loud a clear. Even if the manufacture does exist they would rather sell you another seven figure machine before upgrading the old unit been there done that.
 

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That is probably a reasonable stab at a ballpark figure.

The bigger issue for MS is the trajectory.

I suspect it has been going down steeply.

Example ( imaginary figures to illustrate - there will also be adjustments for known seasonal variations )

month 3 14m
month 4 12m
month 5 10m
month 6 8m

If that is the shape - it is bad news.

I have seen enough figures to figure that the curve is pretty flat and M$ knows it too.
 

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    512 gb ssd
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    Around 13 million employes
59 Mil? Is this, again, items on Shelves, or in the greasy hands of Kids with pimples playing Angry Birds, as it is the only game available? - PS - I BEAT Angry Birds Space!
 

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    WDC WD50 00AAKS-007AA SCSI Disk Device
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    Recently lost my Windows 8 on my main PC, had to go back to Windows 7.
Example: in the past few months, my work has installed about 200 machines with Windows 8 licenses but every one had our own Windows 7 image installed. We just used the 8 license to down grade
 

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60m or so seems likely.

The danger for MS is that monthly activations will keep dropping.
( Unless they have already hit rock bottom and remain flat from now on.)
People are not rushing to take up the 8 offerings.
 

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It seems that mroe people have used eVasi0n to Jailbreak their iPhones and iPads than have activated Microsoft devices.
 

My Computer

System One

  • OS
    Windows 8 Pro with Media Center/Windows 7
    Computer type
    PC/Desktop
    System Manufacturer/Model
    Asus M2N-MX SE Plus § DualCore AMD Athlon 64 X2, 2300 MHz (11.5 x 200) 4400+ § Corsair Value Select
    CPU
    AMD 4400+/4200+
    Motherboard
    Asus M2N-MX SE Plus/Asus A8M2N-LA (NodusM)
    Memory
    2 GB/3GB
    Graphics Card(s)
    GeForce 8400 GS/GeForce 210
    Sound Card
    nVIDIA GT218 - High Definition Audio Controller
    Monitor(s) Displays
    Hitachi 40" LCD HDTV
    Screen Resolution
    "1842 x 1036"
    Hard Drives
    WDC WD50 00AAKS-007AA SCSI Disk Device
    ST1000DL 002-9TT153 SCSI Disk Device
    WDC WD3200AAJB-00J3A0 ATA Device
    WDC WD32 WD-WCAPZ2942630 USB Device
    WD My Book 1140 USB Device
    PSU
    Works 550w
    Case
    MSI "M-Box"
    Cooling
    Water Cooled
    Keyboard
    Dell Keyboard
    Mouse
    Microsoft Intellimouse
    Internet Speed
    Cable Medium Speed
    Browser
    Chrome/IE 10
    Antivirus
    Eset NOD32 6.x/Win Defend
    Other Info
    Recently lost my Windows 8 on my main PC, had to go back to Windows 7.
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